THREAD 1/7 Intel from a Ukrainian officer about a meeting in Putin’s lair in Urals. Oligarchs convened there so no one would flee. Putin is furious, he thought that the whole war would be easy and everything would be done in 1-4 days.
信息 1/7 消息来源乌克兰官员,关于普京在乌拉尔巢穴的会议。寡头们聚集在那里,所以没有人会逃跑。普京怒不可遏,他认为整个战争会很容易,一切都会在1-4天内完成。
2/7 Russians didn’t have a tactical plan. The war costs about $20 bln/day. There are rockets for 3-4 days at most, they use them sparingly. They lack weapons, the Tula and 2 Rotenberg plants can’t physically fulfil the orders for weapons. Rifles and ammo are the most they can do.
2/7 俄罗斯人没有战术计划。战争耗资约 200 亿美元/天。火箭最多3-4天,他们很少使用它们。他们缺乏武器,图拉和2个罗滕贝格的工厂无法实际完成武器订单。步枪和弹药是他们最多可以使用的
3/7 The next Russian weapons can be produced in 3-4 months – if even that. They have no raw materials. What was previously supplied mainly from Slovenia, Finland and Germany is now cut off.
3/7 俄罗斯下一批武器可以在 3-4 个月内生产——即使这样。他们没有原材料。以前主要来自斯洛文尼亚、芬兰和德国的供应现已被切断。
4/7 If Ukraine manages to hold the Russians off for 10 days, then the Russians will have to enter negotiations. Because they have no money, weapons, or resources. Nevertheless, they are indifferent about the sanctions.
4/7 如果乌克兰设法阻挡俄罗斯人 10 天,那么俄罗斯人将不得不进入谈判。因为他们没有钱、武器或资源。然而,他们对制裁无动于衷。
5/7 Alpha Spec Ops have been near Kyiv since the 18th February. The goal was to take Kyiv and instal a puppet regime. They are preparing provocations against innocent civilians – women and children – to sow panic. This is their trump card.
5/7 自 2 月 18 日以来,Alpha特种部队一直在基辅附近。目标是占领基辅并建立傀儡政权。他们正准备对无辜平民——妇女和儿童——进行挑衅来散播恐慌。这是他们的王牌。
6/7 Russia’s whole plan relies on panic – that the civilians and armed forces surrender and Zelensky flees. They expect Kharkiv to surrender first so the other cities would follow suit to avoid bloodshed. The Russians are in shock of the fierce resistance they have encountered.
6/7 俄罗斯的整个计划依赖于恐慌——平民和武装部队投降,泽连斯基逃跑。他们希望哈尔科夫首先投降,这样其他城市就会效仿以避免流血事件。俄罗斯人对他们遇到的强烈抵抗感到震惊。
7/7 The Ukrainians must avoid panic! The missile strikes are for intimidation, the Russians fire them at random to “accidentally” hit residential buildings to make the attack look larger than it really is. Ukraine must stay strong and we must provide assistance!
7/7 乌克兰人必须避免恐慌!导弹袭击是为了恐吓,俄罗斯人随意发射它们以“意外”击中住宅楼,使攻击看起来比实际规模更大。乌克兰必须保持强大,我们必须提供帮助!
8/7 Spread this information so the world would realise how important it is to assist Ukraine right now and without hesitation! It is difficult for Russia, but it is difficult for Ukraine as well if the West does not provide meaningul support!
8/7 传播此信息,让全世界意识到立即毫不犹豫地援助乌克兰的重要性!俄罗斯很难,但如果西方不提供有意义的支持,乌克兰也很难!